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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 20?

data as of 2026-05-20 07:59 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2−$681$683
Holders11−314
Trades154+10450
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate62.7%
−31.6 pp
94.3%
Avg ROI6.7%
+7.3 pp
-0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.62
+1.62×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$37
$37
Recent buyer dominance0.69
−0.31
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-61.8%
−62.0 pp
0.2%
Underwater %87.2%
+79.2 pp
8.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.8%
−17.1 pp
17.9%
Bot %7.6%
−10.3 pp
17.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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