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Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 22?

data as of 2026-05-21 12:05 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$63−$2.4K$2.5K
Holders48+1632
Trades140+8060
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.2%
−48.4 pp
81.7%
Avg ROI9.1%
+7.8 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.00
+19.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×32.36
+31.38×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$384
$385
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.39
0.61
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.2%
−99.3 pp
2.1%
Underwater %91.4%
+82.7 pp
8.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %17.7%
−18.3 pp
36.0%
Bot %28.0%
+22.3 pp
5.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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