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Will Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be between $9.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?

data as of 2026-02-12 23:55 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$21−$2.2K$2.2K
Holders25−1439
Trades187+12463
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.9%
−26.9 pp
75.8%
Avg ROI-1.5%
+0.3 pp
-1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.34
+3.39×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.00
+4.04×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$69
$70
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-79.7%
−83.2 pp
3.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.0 pp
1.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.7%
−51.2 pp
57.9%
Bot %6.7%
−51.2 pp
57.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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