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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

data as of 2026-05-15 05:25 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$2.1K$18K
Holders314−163477
Trades3.0K−5473.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.5%
+0.5 pp
49.0%
Avg ROI1.0%
−4.9 pp
5.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.48
−51.22×
×51.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.43
−52.76×
×53.19
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.7K
−$5.9K
$17.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL134.7%
+232.8 pp
-98.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.4 pp
96.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.4%
+7.3 pp
52.1%
Bot %71.0%
+8.6 pp
62.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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