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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 15?

data as of 2026-06-15 09:51 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$286−$2.3K$2.6K
Holders53+1241
Trades224+33191
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.1%
−29.1 pp
70.2%
Avg ROI4.2%
−1.7 pp
5.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.11
+10.21×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.85
+12.96×
×0.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
−$334
$344
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.06
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.7%
−105.3 pp
12.6%
Underwater %98.4%
+98.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.2%
−3.7 pp
25.9%
Bot %30.3%
+2.1 pp
28.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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