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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

data as of 2026-07-11 07:10 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$19K$31K
Holders326−4330
Trades2.5K−1282.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.1%
−19.9 pp
64.0%
Avg ROI6.9%
+3.6 pp
3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×41.36
+40.70×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×39.82
+39.13×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.4K
−$18.7K
$30.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.3%
−146.7 pp
49.4%
Underwater %93.1%
+93.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.2%
+1.2 pp
40.0%
Bot %45.8%
−0.1 pp
45.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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