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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

data as of 2026-06-26 20:14 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K+$4.8K$11K
Holders225−53278
Trades2.0K−4322.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.8%
+0.8 pp
50.0%
Avg ROI0.7%
−0.8 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.68
−5.72×
×6.40
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.67
−5.72×
×6.38
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.3K
+$4.7K
$10.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.03
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL46.1%
+130.3 pp
-84.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.5 pp
99.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.3%
+3.1 pp
56.2%
Bot %64.5%
+1.2 pp
63.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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