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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

data as of 2026-07-08 04:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$999$17K
Holders314+2312
Trades2.4K−2792.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.4%
−2.1 pp
50.5%
Avg ROI3.5%
+1.6 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×53.12
+52.60×
×0.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×52.43
+51.92×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.7K
−$1.2K
$16.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.0%
−194.3 pp
96.3%
Underwater %96.9%
+96.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.9%
+2.3 pp
41.6%
Bot %58.7%
+0.3 pp
58.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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