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Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 7?

data as of 2026-07-06 13:02 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 7, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
38¢
NO
62¢
YES
38¢
YesY-NNo
Position$237−$169$406
Holders13−1023
Trades45−2267
NO
62¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate79.9%
+37.5 pp
42.4%
Avg ROI15.3%
+13.7 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.96
−0.05×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.96
−0.06×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$318
−$232
$550
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.00
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL3.7%
+5.9 pp
-2.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.7 pp
97.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−10.6 pp
10.6%
Bot %0.0%
−7.2 pp
7.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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