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Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 9?

data as of 2026-04-08 06:42 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$194−$11K$11K
Holders53−2275
Trades762+233529
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.6%
−40.5 pp
80.1%
Avg ROI-5.9%
−8.5 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.65
+5.67×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.48
+5.51×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$152
−$5.8K
$6.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-84.6%
−86.8 pp
2.2%
Underwater %79.0%
+76.0 pp
3.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.0%
−13.0 pp
54.0%
Bot %38.2%
−11.5 pp
49.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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