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Bitcoin Up or Down on March 30?

data as of 2026-03-30 15:06 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$117K+$90K$26K
Holders107+1493
Trades3.8K+4233.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.9%
+9.5 pp
47.3%
Avg ROI0.3%
−0.6 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.60
−32.86×
×33.47
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.62
−28.47×
×29.09
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$357
−$391
$34
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL60.5%
+156.9 pp
-96.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.6 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.4%
+13.4 pp
48.0%
Bot %60.2%
+17.4 pp
42.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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