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Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

data as of 2026-03-31 04:43 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$269K−$840K$1.11M
Holders1.5K−8592.4K
Trades33K−4.5K37K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.2%
−12.5 pp
63.7%
Avg ROI9.2%
−1.9 pp
11.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.68
+8.84×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.98
+15.24×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1
+$64
−$65
Recent buyer dominance0.48
+0.01
0.48
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.7%
−121.3 pp
29.6%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.7%
−49.7 pp
55.3%
Bot %4.5%
−51.4 pp
56.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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