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North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

data as of 2026-04-25 06:15 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$580+$118$462
Holders40+2119
Trades265+99166
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.1%
−14.2 pp
60.3%
Avg ROI6.0%
−0.7 pp
6.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.38
+0.46×
×0.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.40
+0.49×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6
+$9
−$3
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-29.5%
−39.2 pp
9.7%
Underwater %98.0%
+98.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.9%
+7.0 pp
11.9%
Bot %19.0%
+7.1 pp
11.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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