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Will the Republican Party win the TN-03 House seat?

data as of 2026-03-04 20:37 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Nov 3, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
93¢
NO
7¢
YES
93¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.2K+$2.0K$191
Holders17−421
Trades70−2999
NO
7¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate75.7%
+39.3 pp
36.3%
Avg ROI5.0%
+2.2 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.99
−0.15×
×1.14
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.99
−0.17×
×1.16
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$818
+$747
$70
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.07
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL1.2%
+15.2 pp
-14.0%
Underwater %4.3%
−90.0 pp
94.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−33.6 pp
33.6%
Bot %0.0%
−33.6 pp
33.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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