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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

data as of 2026-03-04 05:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$32K+$19K$13K
Holders296−79375
Trades3.8K−2274.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.4%
+16.5 pp
35.9%
Avg ROI-1.1%
−22.0 pp
20.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.66
−31.27×
×31.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.69
−25.87×
×26.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$25.5K
+$13.0K
$12.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL51.0%
+147.3 pp
-96.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−92.8 pp
92.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %83.4%
+4.9 pp
78.5%
Bot %82.9%
+4.7 pp
78.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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