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XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

data as of 2026-05-04 18:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$220+$96$124
Holders38+2315
Trades90+2268
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.5%
−24.5 pp
53.0%
Avg ROI-1.5%
+1.8 pp
-3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×31.19
+30.83×
×0.36
Top-20 avg cost vs price×36.34
+35.95×
×0.39
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$178
+$88
$90
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.05
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.1%
−252.5 pp
155.4%
Underwater %77.3%
+77.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.0%
−20.7 pp
80.7%
Bot %53.8%
−16.9 pp
70.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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