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Michelsen vs. Draper: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

data as of 2026-07-27 18:43 UTC● RESOLVEDsettled 50/50 — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
OVER
50¢
UNDER
50¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
OVER
50¢
OverO-UUnder
Position$493−$262$756
Holders505
Trades5−2025
UNDER
50¢
OverΔ OUUnder
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.0%
+7.7 pp
50.3%
Avg ROI4.2%
+3.4 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.43
+0.49×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.36
+0.42×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$166
+$171
−$5
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-26.5%
−32.7 pp
6.2%
Underwater %83.6%
+83.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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