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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 5AM ET

data as of 2025-12-04 10:57 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.0K−$20K$25K
Holders88+1870
Trades1.6K−651.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.4%
−39.5 pp
68.9%
Avg ROI2.7%
+1.9 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×125.00
+124.28×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×114.44
+113.70×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$0
−$1.2K
$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.44
−0.41
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.2%
−136.5 pp
37.3%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.5%
−4.6 pp
66.0%
Bot %61.2%
−4.9 pp
66.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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