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Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 4?

data as of 2026-05-04 17:01 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$690−$5.5K$6.2K
Holders126+20106
Trades612+156456
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate31.5%
−47.2 pp
78.6%
Avg ROI-1.4%
−2.1 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×90.78
+89.88×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×90.00
+89.08×
×0.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$1.3K
$1.3K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.06
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.0%
−109.7 pp
10.8%
Underwater %82.5%
+82.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %15.5%
+4.4 pp
11.1%
Bot %19.7%
+8.6 pp
11.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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