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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 14?

data as of 2026-01-11 15:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$-4−$58K$58K
Holders35−1146
Trades1.2K+943243
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.4%
−11.1 pp
58.5%
Avg ROI10.0%
+3.1 pp
6.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.40
+1.40×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.40
+1.40×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1
−$374
$374
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-58.4%
−58.3 pp
-0.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+64.0 pp
36.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.6%
+4.6 pp
0.0%
Bot %4.6%
+4.6 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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