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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-31 18:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.7K−$32K$40K
Holders405+69336
Trades4.9K+3914.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.1%
−23.1 pp
59.2%
Avg ROI-3.1%
−3.2 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.41
+16.60×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.23
+14.42×
×0.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.7K
−$26.7K
$34.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.03
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.9%
−116.5 pp
22.6%
Underwater %98.6%
+98.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.1%
−7.3 pp
84.4%
Bot %76.5%
−7.9 pp
84.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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