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Will S&P 500 (SPX) open above $7,700 on May 26, 2026?

data as of 2026-05-24 03:08 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$61−$5.0K$5.0K
Holders43+142
Trades191+10487
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.8%
−24.7 pp
79.6%
Avg ROI37.8%
+35.7 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.30
−0.71×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.69
−0.32×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$14
$15
Recent buyer dominance0.54
−0.24
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL56.8%
+57.9 pp
-1.1%
Underwater %30.7%
−61.6 pp
92.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.4%
+26.7 pp
7.7%
Bot %28.3%
+20.6 pp
7.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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