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S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on July 20?

data as of 2026-07-20 00:48 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$110+$67$43
Holders3−36
Trades4−711
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.1%
+5.7 pp
40.4%
Avg ROI3.3%
+3.5 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.08
−1.72×
×2.80
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.06
−1.61×
×2.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$110
+$67
$42
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.02
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-5.8%
+56.8 pp
-62.6%
Underwater %58.3%
−41.7 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
−34.4 pp
34.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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