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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

data as of 2026-03-13 15:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$30K−$2.5K$33K
Holders412+74338
Trades5.3K+2125.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.3%
−2.0 pp
52.3%
Avg ROI3.2%
+4.1 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×49.00
+48.56×
×0.44
Top-20 avg cost vs price×36.62
+36.17×
×0.45
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.4K
−$4.2K
$12.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.14
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−214.1 pp
116.5%
Underwater %98.9%
+98.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.9%
−6.4 pp
80.4%
Bot %73.0%
−6.4 pp
79.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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