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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6AM ET

data as of 2026-03-15 11:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K−$111K$133K
Holders89−11100
Trades2.3K+12.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.4%
−1.5 pp
46.9%
Avg ROI0.3%
−8.4 pp
8.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.49
+19.08×
×0.41
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.26
+18.83×
×0.42
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.8K
+$5.5K
$3.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.15
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.7%
−238.3 pp
143.6%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %90.5%
+9.2 pp
81.2%
Bot %77.2%
−0.7 pp
77.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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