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Will Teresa Ruiz be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee?

data as of 2026-07-10 10:25 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 21, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
60¢
NO
36¢
YES
60¢
YesY-NNo
Position$841+$408$434
Holders10−414
Trades28028
NO
36¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.0%
+14.7 pp
40.3%
Avg ROI32.7%
+35.1 pp
-2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.96
−0.22×
×1.18
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.94
−0.22×
×1.16
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$515
+$154
$360
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.12
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL6.2%
+19.8 pp
-13.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.5 pp
96.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.7%
−46.6 pp
82.3%
Bot %35.7%
−46.6 pp
82.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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