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Will Napoli win on 2025-09-28?

data as of 2025-09-28 20:12 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$59K−$144K$203K
Holders227+16859
Trades540−21561
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.8%
−19.2 pp
55.0%
Avg ROI-5.6%
−8.0 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.37
+0.45×
×0.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.36
+0.43×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$167
−$555
$722
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.05
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-25.6%
−33.2 pp
7.6%
Underwater %92.9%
+87.6 pp
5.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.2%
−13.1 pp
18.3%
Bot %4.9%
−13.3 pp
18.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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