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Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?

data as of 2025-11-21 17:00 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$47K+$42K$5.3K
Holders459+306153
Trades1.8K+681.7K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate78.1%
+36.1 pp
42.1%
Avg ROI2.0%
−8.3 pp
10.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.97
−89.03×
×90.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.92
−93.91×
×94.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.0K
+$15.9K
$60
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.06
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL12.5%
+111.7 pp
-99.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−79.1 pp
79.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.1%
−33.0 pp
34.1%
Bot %0.6%
−33.1 pp
33.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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