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Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5

data as of 2026-05-21 13:40 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$169−$360$529
Holders13+112
Trades30−838
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.6%
+0.7 pp
49.9%
Avg ROI0.7%
−1.2 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.02
−0.16×
×1.18
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.02
−0.11×
×1.14
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15
+$16
−$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-2.3%
+12.2 pp
-14.6%
Underwater %100.0%
+20.0 pp
80.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+80.0 pp
20.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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