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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9PM ET

data as of 2026-04-04 01:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.8K+$28$8.7K
Holders98+1583
Trades1.1K+441693
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.8%
−9.0 pp
55.8%
Avg ROI3.1%
+3.0 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.92
+14.30×
×0.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.34
+14.70×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$155
−$476
$631
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.00
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.6%
−148.9 pp
55.3%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.8%
−3.5 pp
58.3%
Bot %59.4%
−2.8 pp
62.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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