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Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or higher on May 8?

data as of 2026-05-08 20:21 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$90−$5.1K$5.2K
Holders71−31102
Trades434−1435
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.0%
−52.0 pp
83.9%
Avg ROI11.3%
+11.5 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.04
+7.06×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.34
+7.35×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$80
$80
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.1%
−90.8 pp
1.8%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.7%
+15.9 pp
4.8%
Bot %27.3%
+22.9 pp
4.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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