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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5PM ET

data as of 2025-09-08 21:42 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K+$9.8K$5.0K
Holders49−1564
Trades451−224675
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.7%
+11.5 pp
41.2%
Avg ROI4.0%
−0.7 pp
4.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−9.98×
×10.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−9.41×
×10.14
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$322
−$387
$65
Recent buyer dominance0.27
−0.70
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL39.0%
+128.9 pp
-89.9%
Underwater %0.1%
−90.0 pp
90.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.8%
+12.2 pp
69.6%
Bot %82.7%
+13.2 pp
69.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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