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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

data as of 2025-12-30 09:27 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$34K$50K
Holders297+61236
Trades3.4K+1723.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.80
+3.93×
×0.87
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.08
+4.22×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$815
−$18.9K
$19.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.05
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-78.4%
−94.2 pp
15.8%
Underwater %86.6%
+62.5 pp
24.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %100.0%
+0.2 pp
99.8%
Bot %63.7%
+16.7 pp
47.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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