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Will world GDP growth be 3.5% in 2026?

data as of 2026-02-27 02:26 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jan 15, 2027Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
75¢
NO
25¢
YES
75¢
YesY-NNo
Position$511+$57$454
Holders20+317
Trades244+121123
NO
25¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.3%
−35.0 pp
85.2%
Avg ROI19.9%
−22.8 pp
42.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.06
−3.61×
×3.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.23
−2.63×
×2.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$60
+$40
$20
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.02
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL211.5%
+276.6 pp
-65.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.2%
+5.0 pp
60.2%
Bot %65.2%
+5.0 pp
60.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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