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Will Aaron Long win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?

data as of 2026-03-12 00:22 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Nov 12, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2−$56$57
Holders6+24
Trades26+1016
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.3%
+15.8 pp
44.5%
Avg ROI9.6%
+8.0 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.00
+2.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.77
+1.77×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$2
$2
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-63.9%
−63.9 pp
0.0%
Underwater %94.7%
+94.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %17.4%
+17.4 pp
0.0%
Bot %17.4%
+17.4 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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