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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

data as of 2026-02-20 21:57 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K+$13K$12K
Holders287−61348
Trades4.3K−2414.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.4%
+8.7 pp
42.7%
Avg ROI-0.3%
−2.0 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.62
−15.36×
×15.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.62
−16.07×
×16.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.3K
+$3.4K
$2.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.01
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL66.2%
+160.3 pp
-94.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %71.2%
+6.7 pp
64.5%
Bot %70.7%
+6.8 pp
63.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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