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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

data as of 2026-03-16 19:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$15K$27K
Holders460+52408
Trades4.3K−1434.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.8%
−6.7 pp
55.5%
Avg ROI-2.0%
−2.1 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.04
+0.38×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.12
+0.45×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.0K
−$8.1K
$19.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.11
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-3.5%
−50.1 pp
46.6%
Underwater %53.4%
+53.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.8%
−9.3 pp
77.1%
Bot %66.1%
−10.4 pp
76.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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