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Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 04:32 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$202−$262$464
Holders24−1135
Trades91−121212
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.8%
+3.2 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI-0.0%
−1.1 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.83
−1.80×
×2.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−1.80×
×2.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$159
−$284
$443
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.06
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL24.4%
+85.2 pp
-60.8%
Underwater %1.4%
−97.6 pp
98.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.7%
+25.1 pp
43.6%
Bot %66.8%
+7.6 pp
59.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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