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Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 24?

data as of 2026-05-24 07:48 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$246−$3.7K$3.9K
Holders80−28108
Trades582+162420
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.8%
−43.4 pp
81.2%
Avg ROI30.2%
+28.9 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.50
+13.54×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.24
+14.27×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$45
$46
Recent buyer dominance0.57
−0.20
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.3%
−97.9 pp
4.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.6 pp
0.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.7%
−3.1 pp
21.8%
Bot %22.5%
−2.0 pp
24.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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