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Will Apple say "China" during earnings call?

data as of 2025-10-30 21:14 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$437+$425$12
Holders9−716
Trades23−4265
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.6%
+6.5 pp
53.1%
Avg ROI-2.7%
−33.3 pp
30.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−2.08×
×3.08
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−6.09×
×7.09
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$90
+$81
$9
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.1%
+89.6 pp
-89.6%
Underwater %57.5%
+2.5 pp
55.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−41.4 pp
41.4%
Bot %0.0%
−41.4 pp
41.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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