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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 25?

data as of 2026-06-23 07:08 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jun 25, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
32¢
NO
68¢
YES
32¢
YesY-NNo
Position$111−$130$241
Holders12−1022
Trades14−2943
NO
68¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.2%
+1.9 pp
47.3%
Avg ROI8.6%
−2.0 pp
10.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.03×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.96
−0.04×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$62
−$70
$132
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.37
0.61
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL4.4%
+4.4 pp
0.0%
Underwater %2.3%
−40.7 pp
43.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−2.9 pp
2.9%
Bot %0.0%
−2.9 pp
2.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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