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Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $10B by December 31?

data as of 2026-05-20 19:13 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jan 1, 2027Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
43¢
NO
50¢
YES
43¢
YesY-NNo
Position$186+$43$144
Holders9−514
Trades21−1334
NO
50¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.0%
+3.0 pp
45.0%
Avg ROI3.7%
+4.9 pp
-1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.10×
×1.10
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.09×
×1.09
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
+$14
−$10
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+7.9 pp
-7.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−86.9 pp
86.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−80.1 pp
80.1%
Bot %0.0%
−80.1 pp
80.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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