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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 15?

data as of 2026-04-14 17:17 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$454−$21K$22K
Holders171+7596
Trades1.1K+616524
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.5%
−38.1 pp
77.6%
Avg ROI13.6%
+7.8 pp
5.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.80
+9.82×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.14
+9.17×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18
−$973
$991
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.01
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.2%
−93.9 pp
2.6%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.7%
+12.8 pp
7.9%
Bot %14.8%
+9.7 pp
5.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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