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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 01:03 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Up🗓️ settles Jul 17, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
UP
64¢
DOWN
36¢
UP
64¢
UpU-DDown
Position$969−$570$1.5K
Holders25+817
Trades161−4165
DOWN
36¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.6%
+4.7 pp
45.8%
Avg ROI3.0%
−49.5 pp
52.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−0.60×
×1.37
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.74
−0.62×
×1.36
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$52
−$20
$72
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.20
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL34.5%
+61.1 pp
-26.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.8%
+14.1 pp
50.7%
Bot %71.4%
+8.1 pp
63.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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