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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

data as of 2026-07-02 16:09 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$27K+$15K$12K
Holders336−9345
Trades2.6K−4953.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.9%
+2.0 pp
49.9%
Avg ROI0.9%
−6.4 pp
7.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.68
−16.14×
×16.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−15.24×
×15.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21.3K
+$10.2K
$11.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL48.0%
+141.6 pp
-93.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.8 pp
98.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.9%
−2.3 pp
52.2%
Bot %62.4%
+0.1 pp
62.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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