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Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 21:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$831+$88$743
Holders54+252
Trades342+7335
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.5%
−4.6 pp
51.1%
Avg ROI-0.3%
−0.8 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×24.94
+24.52×
×0.43
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.46
+24.02×
×0.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$797
+$111
$686
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.01
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.0%
−223.6 pp
127.7%
Underwater %95.1%
+95.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.2%
−1.6 pp
58.7%
Bot %62.7%
−0.2 pp
62.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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