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Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 2?

data as of 2026-07-01 01:40 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 2, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
29¢
NO
67¢
YES
29¢
YesY-NNo
Position$203−$437$641
Holders13+112
Trades52+1735
NO
67¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate64.0%
+19.8 pp
44.1%
Avg ROI17.2%
+13.5 pp
3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−0.39×
×1.16
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.89
−0.26×
×1.15
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$151
−$375
$527
Recent buyer dominance0.72
−0.26
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL17.3%
+30.5 pp
-13.2%
Underwater %22.1%
−73.0 pp
95.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.7%
−0.1 pp
0.8%
Bot %0.7%
+0.7 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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