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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 68°F or higher on March 25?

data as of 2026-03-25 19:52 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$17K+$12K$4.5K
Holders197−41238
Trades1.1K−1111.3K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate64.1%
+17.5 pp
46.6%
Avg ROI2.0%
−6.9 pp
8.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.86
−139.14×
×140.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.80
−172.21×
×173.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.6K
+$1.6K
$3
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.07
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL29.7%
+129.2 pp
-99.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.4 pp
95.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %7.0%
−5.9 pp
12.9%
Bot %6.5%
−6.0 pp
12.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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