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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

data as of 2026-04-30 23:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.9K−$3.9K$14K
Holders331+107224
Trades3.8K+1.6K2.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.0%
−6.2 pp
56.2%
Avg ROI0.0%
−0.5 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.81
+6.07×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.76
+6.02×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.4K
+$355
$8.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.16
0.76
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-84.3%
−120.8 pp
36.5%
Underwater %92.8%
+85.2 pp
7.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.7%
−4.4 pp
74.1%
Bot %69.5%
−0.6 pp
70.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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