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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-20 07:43 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$27K+$12K$15K
Holders306−16322
Trades2.8K−4253.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.9%
+1.7 pp
49.2%
Avg ROI1.1%
+1.7 pp
-0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−6.33×
×7.11
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−6.49×
×7.25
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26.0K
+$11.3K
$14.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.01
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL29.6%
+115.6 pp
-85.9%
Underwater %0.3%
−98.7 pp
99.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.8%
+3.8 pp
35.0%
Bot %60.8%
+8.4 pp
52.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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